Alexander Rahr, a German political analyst does not see any prospects for NATO to expand at the expense of the South Caucasus.
Talking to ArmInfo in an online interview organized by the Region Research Center, Rahr said NATO will now try to keep Turkey, as it will not avoid discrepancies, if it turns out that the Western intelligence forces were behind the military coup attempt in Turkey.
"I think the role of the OSCE may grow in the Caucasus, and the Meseberg Process initiated by Angela Merkel and Dmitry Medvedev in 2009 may revive," he said.
The analyst said the regional security issues will be settled within the OSCE in cooperation with Russia that is hostile to NATO. Rahr is sure that the dialogue between the European Union and Eurasian Economic Union is inevitable in the short run, as Europe cannot give up on SCO.
The analyst believes that after restoration of trust and cooperation, Europe and Russia will develop a new level of relations and start building a common space from Lisbon to Vladivostok. He said Germany is setting up solid task force to that end. NATO is likely to stuck in the Arab world and probably in the conflicts with China in the South China Sea.
"If Donald Trump comes to power in U.S., the world order may be corrected. I think he is the first presidential candidate in U.S. to perceive the multi-polar world as a reality not as a terrible challenge to U.S.," the analyst said.