Thursday, April 2 2020 13:42

ArmInfo. The current state of the Karabakh conflict is determined by the coronavirus, since the conflict cannot remain aloof from unprecedented and difficultly  predicted global trends. A similar opinion was expressed by ArmInfo,  head of scientific research at the Dialogue of Civilizations  Institute, political scientist Alexey Malashenko.

"Even regardless of the current situation, the Karabakh conflict was  one of the most unpredictable confrontations in the world. And,  accordingly, it has always been distinguished by the complete  impossibility of any accurate forecasting. I personally do not see  any prerequisites for the resumption of large-scale hostilities  today. the level of events four years ago, "he said.

Recall that the four-day war in Artsakh began with a sudden attack by  Azerbaijan on the night of April 2, 2016. The NKR Defense Army  successfully suppressed the aggressive actions of the enemy.  According to the RA Ministry of Defense, the Azerbaijani Armed Forces  lost about 500 people, not to mention the loss of equipment. Armenia  and Artsakh lost more than 100 people.

In his forecasts for Artsakh, the political scientist proceeds from a  rather serious situation in the surrounding region and the world as a  whole. Malashenko noted that the leadership of Armenia, Georgia,  Azerbaijan, Russia, Iran and Turkey today is focused on the fight  against coronavirus infection, rather than geopolitics. In turn,  global players: USA, China, EU countries are trying to find effective  ways to overcome COVID-19.

"No one today knows how long this whole situation will last.  Accordingly, the main task of everyone everywhere is to manage the  situation, to reach its effective resolution, to create a vaccine  against coronavirus. Everything else has faded into the background  today. The situation in Russia is alarming, in China can only control  the coronavirus through total isolation of the population. Such a  situation and war are simply not compatible. And this is independent  of anyone's desires and domestic political situation, "Malashenko  said.