Arminfo.info



 Wednesday, April 8 2020 11:53
David Stepanyan

Analyst: Revolution in Karabakh   threatens with another escalation  of conflict

Analyst: Revolution in Karabakh   threatens with another escalation  of conflict

ArmInfo. Having questioned the holding of the second round of the presidential election in Nagorno-Karabakh, one of the candidates, Masis Mayilyan, turned into  a key figure in the election campaign. Such an  opinion was expressed  to ArmInfo,  by leading researcher of  the Center for Euro-Atlantic  Security of the Institute for International Studies at MGIMO (Moscow  State University of International Relations) , Sergey Markedonov.

As a result of the presidential elections held in Artsakh on March  31, not one of the candidates won 50% of the vote. With the most  votes in the first round, Araik Harutyunyan - 49.6% and Masis  Mayilyan - 26.7% will have a second round. However, on April 5, Masis  Mayilyan called on the Artsakh people to boycott the second round,  making it impossible to carry out the threat of the spread of the  coronavirus.

At the same time, the growing danger of coronavirus, with all its  importance, is  far from being the only motivation  of Mayilyan,  given that, according to his estimates,March 31 elections are far  from those electoral processes that expected by the Artsakh society  in the new conditions. Dissatisfaction with the move campaign, its  results are indicated by opposition politicians, public  organizations, voters. A protest rally was held in Stepanakert  demanding the resignation of the current NKR authorities and the  annulment of the election results, "he said.

At the same time, Markedonov is not at all sure that all 26.4% of  Mayilyan's supporters will not go to vote in the second round. Thus,  it can take place, after which disputes and contradictions will  concentrate around the appearance. Moreover, even if the elections do  not take place, this will lead to an extension of Bako Sahakyan's  team's stay in power, which, in his opinion, is certainly not the  goal of his many critics.  It is here, according to analysts, that  the opposition can resort to "revolutionary expediency." However,  unlike Armenia itself, in Nagorno-Karabakh the possibility of a  boycott and revision of the election results through street protests  arises for the first time. Moreover, the possibility of escalation of  the situation on the contact line remains. Thus, domestic political  destabilization is fraught with an external threat for Karabakh,  which limits both the radicalism of the opponents of the government  and the latter's ability to take tough actions against the  opposition.

"The future of President Mayilian also raises questions, if for him,  of course, everything will turn out well in the conditions when the  majority in the parliament is already behind Harutyunyan. It's  worthwhile to note the skillful combination of the leader of the"  velvet revolution "in Armenia Nikol Pashinyan with protest rhetoric  and behind-the-scenes agreements by the Republicans, the Armenian  Prime Minister is well aware of the degree of danger of the risks of  internal destabilization, which is why, due to the risks of the  coronavirus, he postponed even his own conflict with the  Constitutional oud and it seems that now is the time to learn these  truths and the people of Karabakh ", -. Markedonov concluded.

The parliamentary elections ended with the passage of five political  forces in the Artsakh National Assembly. These are the parties "Free  Homeland" / "United Civil Alliance" - 40.4%, "United Homeland" -  23.63%, "Justice" - 7.9%, ARF "Dashnaktsutyun" - 6.4% and "Democratic  Party" Artsakh "- 5.81%. 

POST A COMMENT
Input digits     

News
The Power of One Dram to the Road of Life Charitable OrganizationThe Power of One Dram to the Road of Life Charitable Organization
Ardshinbank CJSC has announced about the launch of a new  refinancing business loanArdshinbank CJSC has announced about the launch of a new refinancing business loan
Georgia turns down US invite for official visit over `pre-condition`Georgia turns down US invite for official visit over `pre-condition`
 Transitional dictatorship in Armenia - opposition MP Transitional dictatorship in Armenia - opposition MP
Not a single door in Armenia can be closed to a clergyman - Vahe  HovhannisyanNot a single door in Armenia can be closed to a clergyman - Vahe  Hovhannisyan
FMs of Armenia, Ukraine discuss current situation in regionFMs of Armenia, Ukraine discuss current situation in region
Armenian parliamentarians meet with Co-chair of Congressional  Armenian Issues Caucus in WashingtonArmenian parliamentarians meet with Co-chair of Congressional  Armenian Issues Caucus in Washington
WFP sees need to change format of assistance provided to Artsakh refugeesWFP sees need to change format of assistance provided to Artsakh refugees
Parliament`s opposition factions invite foreign diplomats to closed  meetingParliament`s opposition factions invite foreign diplomats to closed  meeting
Tatoyan: over 96% of respondents in Azerbaijan consider Armenia`s  Yerevan, Syunik and Sevan to be Tatoyan: over 96% of respondents in Azerbaijan consider Armenia`s  Yerevan, Syunik and Sevan to be "Azerbaijani lands"
Leader of Kamq movement: We have one task - Pashinyan`s resignation Leader of Kamq movement: We have one task - Pashinyan`s resignation 
Actions of authorities pose threat to Armenia`s stability and future  - political scientistActions of authorities pose threat to Armenia`s stability and future  - political scientist
Judge`s illegal actions proof of overt political persecution -  ex-minister of defense Judge`s illegal actions proof of overt political persecution -  ex-minister of defense 
Police actions in Kirants criminal - clergyman  Police actions in Kirants criminal - clergyman  
Struggle continues despite repressions - Suren PetrosyanStruggle continues despite repressions - Suren Petrosyan
Reports on alleged beating of residents detained in Kirants false -  Ministry of Interior Reports on alleged beating of residents detained in Kirants false -  Ministry of Interior 
Developments on Armenia`s borders result of concessive policy -  opposition MP Developments on Armenia`s borders result of concessive policy -  opposition MP 
U.S. Government watchdog group adds Azerbaijan to list of world`s   worst religious freedom abusers U.S. Government watchdog group adds Azerbaijan to list of world`s   worst religious freedom abusers 
Armenia`s premier on basis for Armenia-Azerbaijan border delimitation Armenia`s premier on basis for Armenia-Azerbaijan border delimitation 
"Tavush for the Motherland" movement calls on citizens to continue  acts of disobedience
Armenian authorities` actions in Kirants to have grave consequences -  opposition MPArmenian authorities` actions in Kirants to have grave consequences -  opposition MP
Armenia`s premier expounds on Armenia-Azerbaijan border delimitation  processArmenia`s premier expounds on Armenia-Azerbaijan border delimitation  process
$250mln package proposed for Armenian$250mln package proposed for Armenian
Police forces block roads leading to village of Kirants, bordering  AzerbaijanPolice forces block roads leading to village of Kirants, bordering  Azerbaijan
Armenia, NATO discussing prospects for expanding cooperationArmenia, NATO discussing prospects for expanding cooperation
Azerbaijan, Armenia confirm their participation in negotiations in  AlmatyAzerbaijan, Armenia confirm their participation in negotiations in  Almaty
Armenian, Azerbaijani FMs meeting has not yet been determined due to  lack of response from Armenia to this proposalArmenian, Azerbaijani FMs meeting has not yet been determined due to  lack of response from Armenia to this proposal
Omer Celik: Turkiye to monitor developments around Azerbaijan -  Armenia border agreement Omer Celik: Turkiye to monitor developments around Azerbaijan -  Armenia border agreement 
Peacekeepers` withdrawal from Karabakh continuesPeacekeepers` withdrawal from Karabakh continues
Mirzoyan told Al-Jazeera about Armenian-Azerbaijani normalization,  relations with Russia and expressed his position on situation in Gaza  StripMirzoyan told Al-Jazeera about Armenian-Azerbaijani normalization,  relations with Russia and expressed his position on situation in Gaza  Strip
Europe Nostra Vice President to visit ArmeniaEurope Nostra Vice President to visit Armenia
Acba Bank to start public placement of its next USD, AMD bonds on May  2Acba Bank to start public placement of its next USD, AMD bonds on May  2
Participation of the delegation of Turkmenistan in the 57th session of the UN Commission on Population and DevelopmentParticipation of the delegation of Turkmenistan in the 57th session of the UN Commission on Population and Development
MP: As a result of border delimitation Armenia to receive state  border to protect its sovereigntyMP: As a result of border delimitation Armenia to receive state  border to protect its sovereignty
Hungary blocks European Peace Facility`s support project for Armenia Hungary blocks European Peace Facility`s support project for Armenia 
RAU rector`s office term extended by 4 yearsRAU rector`s office term extended by 4 years
"5165" movement calls on all healthy forces of Armenia to unite for   salvation of motherland
Investigative Committee comments on beating of servicemen who  attended protests in KirantsInvestigative Committee comments on beating of servicemen who  attended protests in Kirants
Italian orchestra ROMA SINFONIETTA to perfom Ennio Morricone`s famous  compositions in YerevanItalian orchestra ROMA SINFONIETTA to perfom Ennio Morricone`s famous  compositions in Yerevan
Armenia`s government making unilateral concessions in Azerbaijan`s  favor - Tavush for the Motherland movementArmenia`s government making unilateral concessions in Azerbaijan`s  favor - Tavush for the Motherland movement
Armenia`s new rep to UNESCO appointed Armenia`s new rep to UNESCO appointed 
Border delimitation supposed to settle problems on other border  sectionsBorder delimitation supposed to settle problems on other border  sections
Armenia`s minister of defense hosts member of French Senate  CommitteesArmenia`s minister of defense hosts member of French Senate  Committees
Armenia`s authorities have nothing in common with Armenian people -  opposition MPArmenia`s authorities have nothing in common with Armenian people -  opposition MP
Leaflets calling for supporting Tavush residents distributed in  Armenia`s capital Leaflets calling for supporting Tavush residents distributed in  Armenia`s capital 
Armenia`s territories gradually surrendered under the guise of Armenia`s territories gradually surrendered under the guise of "pilot  border delimitation" - opposition MP
All-Armenian Council of Diplomats proposes solutions to end crisis in  Armenia All-Armenian Council of Diplomats proposes solutions to end crisis in  Armenia 
Statement by Armenia`s Ministry of Justice shameful - Arman Tatoyan Statement by Armenia`s Ministry of Justice shameful - Arman Tatoyan 
Armenia`s government comments on results of premier`s meeting with  residents of village of KirantsArmenia`s government comments on results of premier`s meeting with  residents of village of Kirants
Journalistic organizations expressed outrage at unjustified  aggression and cruelty of RA law enforcement officers against media  covering protestsJournalistic organizations expressed outrage at unjustified  aggression and cruelty of RA law enforcement officers against media  covering protests
Idram and IDBank at Career City FestIdram and IDBank at Career City Fest
"Shirak for Motherland" movement holds  car rally in Gyumri in  support of Tavush residents 
As of April 29, 2024, 35 border posts have been installed between  Armenia, AzerbaijanAs of April 29, 2024, 35 border posts have been installed between  Armenia, Azerbaijan
"Mother Armenia" bloc calls on students to stand up in support of  Tavush residents
European Commission Director General travels to South Caucasus to  launch new initiativesEuropean Commission Director General travels to South Caucasus to  launch new initiatives
Armenia`s Justice Ministry issues statement regarding  Armenian-Azerbaijani border delimitation in Tavush Armenia`s Justice Ministry issues statement regarding  Armenian-Azerbaijani border delimitation in Tavush 
Opposition MP files complaint against police Opposition MP files complaint against police 
When organizing Armenian, Azerbaijani FMs` meeting in Almaty,  Kazakhstan`s authorities will not act as negotiatorWhen organizing Armenian, Azerbaijani FMs` meeting in Almaty,  Kazakhstan`s authorities will not act as negotiator
Armenia`s Prosecutor`s Office intends to reclassify actions of   defendants in case of March 1, 2008Armenia`s Prosecutor`s Office intends to reclassify actions of   defendants in case of March 1, 2008
"Tavush for the Motherland " demands from Armenian law enforcement  agencies to investigate report accusing Bagrat Srbazan of committing  crime
Read more



Commented