Along with the risks and threats connected with the national security problems, the Constitutional Reform in Armenia and the country's shift to the parliamentary system of government will give an opportunity to the external centers of power to seize the political space in Armenia, Hrachya Arzumanyan, the director of Ashkhar, the Stepanakert-based Center of Strategic Analysis, told ArmInfo.
"One beautiful day, the conditional party leadership of the conditional Republican Party of Armenia may find out that most of its members is recruited by a new political actor. Considering that the overwhelming majority of the Armenian 'party men' pursue financial and economic goals, not political and ideological ones, it will be no so difficult to do it. It will be enough to add another zero to the amounts that are used to control them now. The 'difference of potentials' will make the outflow of the party men inevitable," Arzumanyan said.
According to the analyst, the financial intervention into the political field of Armenia may be so rapid that the National Security agencies will have no time to respond. Arzumanyan believes that the banking system of Armenia is a full-fledged institute able to carry out the given operation, when intervention is made by means of micro-transactions beyond the control of the National Security agencies. In addition, the intervention can be made through the international financial system, he said. "In other words, the Constitutional Reform creates legal mechanisms to take control over the political field of Armenia on the basis of the strategy of indirect actions. In the given case, we are speaking about financial mechanisms and methods of financial war, while other methods can be invested and implemented too," says the expert in war and national security issues.
Arzumanyan believes that the security agencies concentrated in the hands of the president will be distributed to several centers of power in case of the parliamentary system of government. This will not let adequately responding to the threats that require immediate solutions by force. The analyst said the parliamentary system of government deprives the country's leadership of the only reliable instrument - force - to respond to the external threats.
"In the 21st century, violation of Armenia's sovereignty, interference intro its political or financial- economic space is possible in many unusual ways, through information technologies, financial methods of war. In other words, I am speaking about war that is taking new forms, but requires tough and immediate steps, which will be nearly impossible in the country with parliamentary system of government," Arzumanyan said.
To recall, on October 5, the National Assembly adopted the draft reforms with 104 "pros". By ArmInfo's data, the referendum on the reforms will be held on December 6. According to ArmInfo's sources, the campaign headquarters will be headed by Prime Minister Hovik Abrahamyan, who will take a leave for that period.