Head of Modus Vivendi Center of Sociological Studies, Armenia's ambassador to Canada in 2000-2006, Ara Papyan is sure that after the Formula-1 race in Azerbaijan on June 17-18, the situation in the Karabakh conflict zone will grow tense again.
The diplomat believes that Baku does not want to aggravate the situation ahead of the event, but it is very probable that Baku will make a provocation in the conflict zone on occasion of the forthcoming visit of Pope Francis to Armenia (June 24 - editor's note).
Papyan recalled that on July 8-9, NATO Summit will be held in Warsaw, and Baku will make a provocation before that event to put the Karabakh issue on agenda of the NATO Summit.
He believes that Azerbaijan will not unleash large-scale military actions - it will be new blitzkriegs. At the same time, Papyan said, war is favorable to Russia, as it will get an opportunity to yield Nagorno Karabakh to Azerbaijan in exchange of its membership of the Eurasian Economic Union and to "keep a tight rein" on Armenia.