Newsfeed

Founding Parliament movement holds a Yerevan-Gyumri car rally

UN Council on Human Rights Adopting Armenia's Resolution on Genocide Prevention

Turkish Deputy: Karabakh Conflict to be Settled within Azerbaijan's Territorial Integrity

Turkey Hoping the European Commission Will Not Recognize the Armenian Genocide

Seyran Ohanyan: Baku Responsible for the Possible Escalation of the Karabakh Conflict

Kiev Events Dedicated to the Armenian Genocide Centennial

Sevak Sarukhanyan: Concerns about possible emergence of ISIS in Azerbaijan focus Tehran's attention on Baku

Villagers address a letter to Armenian Prime Minister over a tailing dump of Akhtala Mining Plant

Armen Rustamyan: ARFD's coalition with authorities depends on whether its 7 proposals will be fulfilled

Heritage Party about negotiations with president: "Terrorists hijacking planes are bad guys, but we have to negotiate with them to save hostages"

Parliamentary forces do not support Founding Parliament movement's steps

Head of Chinari rural community: Tension on the border should not cause panic

"Never Again" - Films telling about Genocide of Armenians screened at Sofia Film Festival

Nikol Pashinyan Tore to Bits SCPEC Armenia's Head

Armenian Assembly of America urges US Subcommittee to allocate $40 million in assistance to Armenia

Orange Contributing to the Project "Bringing Sight to Armenian Eyes"

Defense Ministry of Armenia sets up special organization to manage Karen Demirchyan Sports and Concert Facility

Beeline Announces "Information Technologies in my Life" Contest

SCR offers preferential fares for electric trains in April

Zhirair Sefilian: the "Founding Parliament" to Start 24/7 Tea Parties since April 24

Washington Forecast: USA Paying More Attention to Baku as a versus to Armenian-Russian Axis

Seyran Ohanyan: Russia assists Armenia globally

Tigran Urikhanyan leaves Prosperous Armenia Party

VTB Armenia Mortgage Portfolio to Increase by 10-20% in 2015

Baku blacklists journalists for attending medias forum in Yerevan

Defense Minister of Armenia says reasons why Armenian soldier crossed border into Azerbaijan must be sought in his family

Azerbaijan uses mortars on Line of Contact

Armenian soldier dies from heavy wounds received when repelling adversary

Traian Hristea: Metsamor NPP Prescheduled Shut-Down is the EU Main Purpose

Defence Minister: the Situation on the Front Line is Under Control of Armenian Armed Forces

In 2014 VTB Armenia Strengthened its Positions in Retail Business

VTB Armenia Bank Investments in Branch Network Modernization Exceeding 5 Million USD

Official: State Commission keeps an eye on large economic entities

Official: "ENA" CJSC quits discrimination against consumers

Raffi Hovannisian: Meeting of Armen Martirosyan and Rubik Hakobyan with Serzh Sargsyan does not run contrary to Heritage Party's stand

South Caucasus Railway: Efficiency of investments in railway infrastructure of Armenia evident

Magnitude 3.7 quake hits north of Armenia

British parliamentarian demands Government to recognize Genocide of Armenians

Valery Gergiev's concert in Yerevan postponed

Beeline supports screening of "Komitas: Crane of Melancholy" film-performance

Parliament Vice-Speaker Harshly Criticizing Levon Ter-Petrosyan's Speech on the Centennial of the Genocide

ACBA-CREDIT AGRICOLE BANK: new capacities on a new website

Ishkhan Mkhitaryan: Armenian Card ready for technological leap in credit card market

Ministry of Defence Armenia: The Karabakh Conflict Zone Situation is Tensed, but Under Control

Inspections Performed in Akhtala Ore Mining Plant

Former employees of Nairit Plant demand their wages again

Armenian Foreign Ministry tries to find out if there were Armenian citizens of board the crashed Airbus A320

Levon Ter-Petrosyan introduces his own option of All Armenian Declaration on 100th Anniversary of Armenian Genocide

Ukrainian political expert: Poroshenko due to abandon idea of Ukraine's liberation

National Assembly of Armenia passes draft resolution condemning Genocide against Greeks and Assyrians

Andrey Ryabov: Russia has no competitors in post-Soviet space, so Eurasian Union project has big chances to succeed

ArmInfo’s interview with Andrey Ryabov, analyst at the Carnegie Moscow Center

  • by Ashot Safaryan

  • Monday, December 10, 11:45

 

Mr. Ryabov, do you think that the project of the Eurasian Union has chances for implementation? What real benefits may it bring to the possible parties involved?

 

The project has both positive and problematic aspects. Among the positive aspects is that the post-Soviet countries are well aware that in the foreseeable future they will be unable to become members of some other integration projects.  Several years ago the so-called "European dream" was very popular among most politicians of the post-Soviet countries, not it is mainly a slogan.

 

Probably, the EU has too many own financial and economic problems so it would hardly care for the post-Soviet space…

 

Today it is obvious that an access to the European Union is denied for at least 10 years. The EU will inventory what it has, it will solve its domestic problems. It will most likely be not the European Union we saw before the crisis. Other attempts of integration formations, for instance, in Central Asia cannot have real success either.  

 

Though the commodity turnover between the potential members of the Eurasian Union is insignificant, the given circumstance cannot be considered as an obstacle in the way of integration. It is not a matter of foreign trade, but first of all it is a matter of interaction between the elites; the ruling elites of the post-Soviet countries are alike and understand one another much better than the Europeans and even the Chinese. Therefore, it is possible to establish a dialogue even in case of restricted economic interaction.

 

All these factors together let us say that there are no active global players in the post-Soviet space, except Russia. EU is solving its own problems, the USA is interested in security problems, especially, in relation to the expected withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan; it is also interested in interaction with the local political regimes to effectively control the security, but all these problems are not development problems. Today the USA is not even concerned with the problems of democratization of these countries.

 

What about the negative aspects of the given project?

 

Alongside with all its positive aspects, the Eurasian Union idea has a big negative side: the key goal is not attained yet, i.e. no engine is fastened to this mechanism. Only big private interests may become the engine. The EU is attractive as it has a project of future – public unification without borders with high social protection, which is not observed for the Eurasian Union yet.  

 

Maybe, that is why Armenia does not harry “to join” the project at least by statements of support…

 

Armenia's authorities are trying to build good relations with both the post-Soviet countries and the European Union, and the fact that the President of the European Commission and the President of the European People's Party arrived in Yerevan the day after the visit of the President of Turkmenistan is the vivid illustration of Yerevan's multi- vector foreign policy.

Yerevan is negotiating on the EU Association Agreement, and it is very important, but on the other hand, we deal with the Russian proposal on Armenia's joining the Eurasian Union.  Certainly, like any other country, Armenia is trying to find some balance in this situation.

If Russia offered some attractive economic prospect in addition to the security system, there would be no doubt about Armenia's policy.  I think Yerevan's balancing behavior will continue.

 

Does Moscow feel any danger that Armenia may shortly leave the wake of the Kremlin's policy?

 

The people that make decisions in Moscow do not yet feel such danger. Certainly, there may be some adjustments and changes in the future. But at the moment it is very important for Russia to involve Armenia in the integration processes in the post-Soviet space. There is a CSTO, but it solves the problem of security. In the meantime, there is also an economic component of these integration processes, and the Eurasian Union project is directed at that. In this context, I think Moscow will continue its efforts.

Send to a friend

To (e-mail)


Your name


Message


Comments

View comments (0)
  • READ ALL COMMENTS
  • POST A COMMENT

Be first to comment on this article

* Indicates required fields